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Silence on AUKUS: A Missed Opportunity in the Indonesia–China Strategic Dialogue – The China-Global South Project

by Miles Cooper
May 3, 2025
in Indonesia, Jakarta
Silence on AUKUS: A Missed Opportunity in the Indonesia–China Strategic Dialogue – The China-Global South Project
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In the ever-evolving landscape of international relations, the AUKUS security pact—a trilateral alliance between Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States—has generated waves of discussion and concern across the Asia-Pacific region. One significant oversight in the recent Indonesia–China Strategic Dialogue, however, has been the conspicuous silence surrounding AUKUS. As Indonesia grapples with its strategic position between an assertive China and the enduring alliance with Western powers, the absence of any discourse on AUKUS during these crucial talks signals a missed opportunity to address fundamental security anxieties and regional power dynamics. This oversight raises questions about Indonesia’s role as a mediator and its capacity to navigate the complexities of Sino-Western relations within the broader context of Global South politics. In exploring these themes, we delve into how the silence on AUKUS reflects broader geopolitical tensions and the implications for Indonesia’s future as a key player in Asia.

Table of Contents

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  • The Overlooked AUKUS Discussion: Implications for Indonesia-China Relations
  • Strategic Gaps in Regional Security: How Silence on AUKUS Affects Global South Dynamics
  • Recommendations for Inclusive Dialogue: Enhancing Indonesia’s Role in Regional Stability
  • To Wrap It Up

The Overlooked AUKUS Discussion: Implications for Indonesia-China Relations

The recent AUKUS agreement, involving Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States, has ignited a significant shift in the geopolitical landscape of the Indo-Pacific region. However, the discussions surrounding AUKUS have largely overlooked Indonesia, a key player in Southeast Asian geopolitics, particularly in its relationship with China. As Indonesia maintains its position as a non-aligned nation, it is crucial for Jakarta to proactively address the implications of AUKUS on its diplomatic ties with China. Failure to engage in this dialogue could lead to increased tensions and misunderstandings, impacting regional stability at a time when collaborative frameworks are essential.

At the heart of this strategic oversight lies the potential for Indonesia to act as a mediator between Western powers and China, but it must first articulate clear concerns about AUKUS. The implications could include:

  • Military Dynamics: A shift in military balance that may provoke an arms race in the region.
  • Trade Relations: Potential disruptions in trade flows due to heightened military presence.
  • Political Pressure: Increased pressure on Indonesia to align more closely with one side over the other.

Thus, a well-rounded approach that includes consultations with both AUKUS nations and Chinese officials can pave the way for Indonesia to assert its sovereignty while fostering regional dialogue. If Indonesia can effectively communicate its strategic vision, it can enhance its role not just as a passive observer, but as an influential actor in determining the future of Indo-Pacific security dynamics.

Strategic Gaps in Regional Security: How Silence on AUKUS Affects Global South Dynamics

In the wake of the AUKUS agreement, a troubling trend of silence regarding this trilateral security pact has emerged, particularly among nations of the Global South. The implications of AUKUS extend far beyond the defense realms of Australia, the UK, and the US. Indonesia—as a pivotal actor in Southeast Asia—has found itself at a crossroads, grappling with the rising influence of China and the shifting security landscape that AUKUS has precipitated. This silence not only hinders Indonesia’s ability to assert its strategic interests but also exacerbates regional divisions, potentially leading to an arms race fueled by uncertainty and miscommunication. The void left by an unaddressed AUKUS in regional discussions breeds conditions ripe for conflict, as it disregards the perspectives and security needs of Global South countries.

Moreover, the lack of discourse around AUKUS during Indonesia-China strategic dialogues illustrates missed diplomatic opportunities. It restricts the potential for crafting a collective and coherent security framework that accounts for diverse regional perspectives. With China’s assertiveness and AUKUS’s military capabilities influencing regional dynamics, it is crucial for Indonesia and its neighbors to openly address concerns surrounding this partnership. This can be achieved through initiatives such as:

  • Regional Security Conferences: To foster dialogue including AUKUS-related topics.
  • Increased Multilateral Cooperation: Building alliances to promote understanding and transparency.
  • Public Awareness Campaigns: Educating citizens on the implications of AUKUS to encourage informed discussions.
CountrySecurity ConcernsPotential Actions
IndonesiaRegional Arms RaceIncrease Diplomatic Engagement
MalaysiaChina’s Military ExpansionStrengthen Regional Alliances
VietnamSouth China Sea ClaimsJoint Maritime Patrols

Recommendations for Inclusive Dialogue: Enhancing Indonesia’s Role in Regional Stability

To foster a framework for inclusive dialogue, Indonesia should consider engaging with all stakeholders involved in regional security dynamics. This approach could include establishing multilateral forums that bring together ASEAN countries, China, and other relevant powers to address collective security concerns. Furthermore, Indonesia can leverage its position as the largest economy in Southeast Asia to champion initiatives focused on trust-building measures, such as joint military exercises and collaboration on non-traditional security threats like climate change and natural disasters. These steps could reinforce regional stability by promoting a shared understanding and cooperative strategies among competing interests.

Moreover, Indonesia could prioritize track-two diplomacy involving think tanks and non-governmental organizations to facilitate dialogue outside of formal political channels. This would allow for a more nuanced exchange of ideas and concerns, far removed from the rigidity of state-level negotiations. Additionally, setting up youth exchange programs and educational initiatives could cultivate a generation more adept at navigating the complexities of regional relations. Emphasizing cultural exchange in conjunction with diplomatic talks will enrich the dialogue and foster mutual respect, creating a healthier environment for proactive engagement rather than reactionary policies.

To Wrap It Up

In conclusion, the recent silence surrounding the AUKUS partnership during the Indonesia–China strategic dialogue underscores a complex and evolving geopolitical landscape in the Asia-Pacific region. As nations navigate their relationships amid rising tensions and shifting alliances, the absence of discourse on AUKUS signals a missed opportunity for Indonesia and its counterparts to address critical security concerns and regional aspirations. The implications of this silence extend beyond immediate bilateral relations; they may also influence broader global perceptions of engagement and cooperation within the Global South. As the stakes continue to rise, the need for open dialogue and strategic transparency remains paramount. The evolution of AUKUS and its impact on regional stability will undoubtedly be a focal point for analysts and policymakers in the coming months, as they seek to understand the broader ramifications of these key interactions on the global stage.

Tags: Asia-Pacific affairsAUKUSChinaChina-Indonesia relationsdefense alliancesDiplomacyEconomic PartnershipsForeign Policygeopolitical strategygeopoliticsGlobal GovernanceGlobal SouthIndonesiaIndonesia-China relationsInternational RelationsJakartaMilitary Cooperationregional stabilitysecurity policySoutheast AsiaStrategic DialogueStrategic Interests
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